seatsS&D: 20RE: 43RE: 31RE: 17EPP: 75ECR: 14ESN: 40 | left: 20right: 129 | last update: 11.6.2025
coalitionsall seats: 240 majority: 121 government S&DREEPPECR
S&DREEPP-center-left/right: 186
REEPPECR-center-right: 180
last election (2024)EPP: 25.52% RE: 13.74% ESN: 12.92% RE: 11.17% S&D: 7.32% RE: 7.24% ECR: 6.56% NI: 4.44% NI: 3.87% NI: 1.03% NI: 0.41% NI: 0.29% NI: 0.19%
change since last electionS&D: -0.4% RE: +1.2% RE: -0.4% RE: -1.1% EPP: +0.2% ECR: -1.5% ESN: +0.8%
2024 - 202427.10.2024APS+7.2GERB—SDS+1.5ITN+0.8BSP+0.5PP-0.2Revival-0.5DPS-5.4
2024 - 202427.10.2024APS+19ITN+2BSP+1GERB—SDS+1PP-2Revival-3DPS-17
election predictionsWhich party will be the biggest? GERB—SDSvery likely
How many parties will get into the parliament? 7not much likely
Will the current government gain majority? yeslikely
Will GERB—SDS lose more or less than 5%? lessvery likely
election polls11.6.2025three weeks agoSova HarrisAPS+5.9GERB—SDS-0.6ITN-0.6Revival-0.9PP-1.2BSP-1.4DPS-5.5
18.5.2025a month oldTrendRevival+1DPS+0.7PP+0.2ITN+0.1BSP-0.1GERB—SDS-0.5APS-0.9
30.4.2025oldMarket LinksDPS+1.9PP+1.7BSP+0.2Revival-0.1ITN-0.6GERB—SDS-2.1APS-2.2
30.4.2025oldMarketLinksRevival+0.5PP+0.3DPS+0.1ITN-0.8GERB—SDS-0.9APS-1.2
13.4.2025oldMyaraPP+0.2DPS+0.1APS+0.1BSP-0.1ITN-0.1GERB—SDS-0.3Revival-0.4
30.3.2025oldGallupPP+3.6DPS+3.5ITN-0.1Revival-0.3APS-0.6GERB—SDS-0.7BSP-1.6