seatsS&D: 35EPP: 192ECR: 163ESN: 70 | left: 35right: 425 | last update: 30.11.2025
coalitionsall seats: 460 majority: 231 government S&DREEPP
S&DREEPP-center-left/right: 227
REEPPECR-center-right: 355
last election (2023)ECR: 35.4% EPP: 30.7% RE: 14.4% S&D: 8.6% ESN: 7.2%
change since last electionS&D: -2.6% RE: -14.4% EPP: +1.5% ECR: -7.9% ESN: +4.6%
2023 - 2019PolishCoalition+5.8CivicCoalition+3.3Confederation+0.4The Left-4UnitedRight-8.2
2023 - 2019PolishCoalition+35CivicCoalition+23Confederation+7The Left-23UnitedRight-41
election predictionsWhich party will be the biggest? CivicCoalitionvery likely
How many parties will get into the parliament? 4likely
Will the current government gain majority? noprobable
Will CivicCoalition lose more or less than 5%? lessvery likely
election polls30.11.2025a week agoSocial Changes / wPolsce24CivicCoalition+8UnitedRight+4The Left+2Confederation-2
5.11.2025a month oldCBOSConfederation+2.3CivicCoalition+0.4The Left-1.3UnitedRight-2.9
5.11.2025a month oldOpinia24CivicCoalition+2.2The Left+0.9UnitedRight-1Confederation-2.4
3.11.2025a month oldResearch PartnerThe Left-0.3CivicCoalition-0.9Confederation-1.2UnitedRight-4.8
27.10.2025a month oldOGBCivicCoalition+0.9The Left+0.4Confederation-1.2UnitedRight-1.7
26.10.2025a month oldUnited Surveys / WP.plCivicCoalition+1The Left-0.4Confederation-2UnitedRight-2.2
25.10.2025a month oldIBRiS / RzCivicCoalition+1.7Confederation+1.6UnitedRight-0.5The Left-0.9
14.10.2025a month oldOpinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24UnitedRight+0.5Confederation-0.6The Left-2.6CivicCoalition-3.5PolishCoalition-7