seatsS&D: 37EPP: 167ECR: 173ESN: 83 | left: 37right: 423 | last update: 28.7.2025
coalitionsall seats: 460 majority: 231 government S&DREEPP
S&DREEPP-center-left/right: 204
REEPPECR-center-right: 340
last election (2023)ECR: 35.4% EPP: 30.7% RE: 14.4% S&D: 8.6% ESN: 7.2%
change since last electionS&D: -2.3% RE: -14.4% EPP: -2.2% ECR: -6% ESN: +6.9%
2023 - 2019PolishCoalition+5.8CivicCoalition+3.3Confederation+0.4The Left-4UnitedRight-8.2
2023 - 2019PolishCoalition+35CivicCoalition+23Confederation+7The Left-23UnitedRight-41
election predictionsWhich party will be the biggest? UnitedRightprobable
How many parties will get into the parliament? 4likely
Will the current government gain majority? novery likely
Will CivicCoalition lose more or less than 5%? lessvery likely
election polls28.7.2025oldPollster / SE.plCivicCoalition+0.9Confederation-0.8The Left-1UnitedRight-1.7
27.7.2025oldUnited Surveys / WP.plConfederation+4.9The Left-0.1UnitedRight-0.9CivicCoalition-2.4
26.7.2025oldIBRiS / "Rz"CivicCoalition+3.6The Left+1.5UnitedRight-0.2Confederation-2.2
25.7.2025oldIPSOS / "19:30" TVP InfoUnitedRight+2The Left+1Confederation-3CivicCoalition-4PolishCoalition-8
21.7.2025oldResearch PartnerConfederation+2.9UnitedRight+1.1CivicCoalition-0.3The Left-0.5PolishCoalition-4.2
11.7.2025oldOGBThe Left+1.2Confederation+0.1CivicCoalition-1.6UnitedRight-7PolishCoalition-8
9.7.2025oldOpinia24Confederation+1.1CivicCoalition+0.5UnitedRight+0.4The Left-1.1
9.7.2025oldCBOSUnitedRight+2CivicCoalition-2The Left-2Confederation-2